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Sunday, May 12, 2019

Naresh Goyal, Jet Airways and his crony capitalism: Way Forward



Naresh Goyal, Jet Airways and his crony capitalism: Way Forward


Jet Airways is the same story as other corporations demanding again & again for capital which was once favoured/supported by state run PSUs with State Bank of India or others as lead Bank & the outstanding dues are to the tune of some fancy numbers over Rs.8400 crores. When there is no sign of any revival, resolution and only loss-making restructuring is there for lenders then put it through test of time and test of legality under IBC (Insolvency & Bankruptcy Code) & NCLT (National Company Law Tribunal). Bailout and sentiments have no meaning in a market economy because market favours none when manipulations are none and regulators are only for regulations.
May 10 was the first deadline for submitting binding interest for Jet Airways, and more deadline would come in next 6 months for potential bidders- Etihad Airways, TPG Capital and the NIIF for Jet Airways & to submit their binding financial bids for acquiring the airline. Looking over the debt pile of more than 8400 crores with operational inefficiency attributed to crony capitalism(emphasis) & past records it seems a never-ending wo for Jet Airways.

How Etihad once killed Air India is no secret!!
Jet Airways and its crony capitalism is that example which was once problem creator for AI. The story was not a hidden truth where it had tried & blocked growth of Air India & Tata Airlines. It should not be given any leverage and like or unlike other companies if there are no prospective investors for Jet, simply put it under NCLT & IBC or, if gov chooses then merge it with AI thus availing its lost international routes to Etihad during last decade to crony capitalism. It was Etihad which bought unutilised inventory of AI Boeing planes under some outside influence when it started facing problems. It’s unnecessary for Government to go for bailout which brings plethora of litigations & anti people sentiments, when market economy has taken place in 21st century aspirational India.

(How to make kill a prestigious airline can only be pre-planned and needs a cold-blooded strategy) First, number of AI Boeings bought during first decade of 21st century was in more numbers than what needed, then altered its seats dimensions to accommodate less passengers for International flight for giving comfort thus directly impacting revenues on a long route revenue business model. When it seemed too less, international routes were given to Etihad on preferential basis & lastly to put last nail in coffin, unutilised inventory was sold to Etihad itself thus favouring more, all under compulsion. (#CAG report and notes mentioned in autobiography of Mr. Vinod Rai, former CAG)
Otherwise, it’s also another classic case of how government policies changes or who made those changes happen; like former Civil Aviation Minister Praful Patel used to do with AirIndia saga. We can also make it an example when founder behaves like ‘Darbari culture’ & like Mallya sitting in London, Mr. Goyal bidding for his airline to gain control again while he has done nothing in last 1 year for revival of his corporations.
There is always blood & toil of employees and in early days for promoters but that’s not an excuse for all irregularities. First, any corporations took unbridled loans which is only public money from banks without having a check on expenses in name of expansion & lastly wants gov for bailout in name of job losses. Why would banks fund any extra if your financials are not in line and they are good till asked to bring equity infusion by promoters or dilute their stake for some outside investors. Additionally, common behaviour of every promoters in early days was to take away the portion of their equity infusion and other investments made by him.

We may say it’s the economic compulsions of capitalism, psychological games played with lenders or the greed of promoters/investors, but underlying philosophies of job losses answers are still elusive. Most of corporations are started with initial funding ratio of 1:4 divided b/w promoters & lenders. Promoters are good till not to ask for their equity dilution or bring some equity infusion and their first motto for first 2 years of operations is to get back his money through diversion/siphoning of funds, personal expenses like lavish travelling, stay & others or similar other excuses.
Meantime, Abu Dhabi based Etihad Airways has concluded the due-diligence process & wants to remain minority stakeholder before it places its final financial bid for acquiring Jet Airways. It’s the only one shown interest on 10th May meeting while the hope is still there for other bidders to join. The other two potential bidders- TPG Capital and the National Investment and Infrastructure Fund (NIIF) have started their respective processes and maybe bid jointly with Etihad in future sensing more doubt and connivance of Jet Promoter Naresh Goyal in the whole saga.

(Views expressed are personal and in continuation to Jet Airways saga like the one happened with Kingfisher Airlines)